Kintera Bleeding Signals Business Strategy Shift?
12:00 AM Aug 17, 2005
Kintera finally went public with the gory details, raising their
projection of 2005 losses from $0.93-$0.99 per share to $1.15-$1.24
while lowering revenue forecasts from $50-55 million to $42-45
million and pushing projected profitability back from Q1 to Q4 of 2006.
If you've got the best part of an hour to kill, you can tune into their
shareholder call here, or read all about it here.
What's
most interesting on the call, however, is not the litter of statistics
only an analyst could love, but the sketch of what looks like a
business strategy that would see the Sphere's shadow in e-advocacy
significantly reduced.
CFO
Richard Davidson, who took over for James Rotherman last week and
started laying off staff, pledged to rein in marketing investment "in
some areas where we really historically have not had product
success." Citing competitive interest, he declined to elaborate
the meaning of this phrase, but there's good reason to think that might
mean smaller, advocacy-oriented nonprofits. Kintera's ruthless
business strategies -- which have included suing nonprofits, patenting
business methods and gobbling up software vendors to upsell their
client lists -- have not played well in the soft-hearted NGO
world. Add the declining price and increasing availability of
tools in the sector, and Kintera has the look of a dinosaur among
activist-oriented groups. In cases where we at DIA answer formal
bid proposals, it's less and less common to see Kintera win the bid, or
even among the finalists.
That's not to say there isn't a place
for Kintera. They'll even tell you what that place is:
Davidson pledged to focus efforts on "education, health [and]
faith-based" organizations -- like the University of Virginia, who they
inked last week.
Which is good and well, but universities and hospitals are an entirely different animal from Greenpeace or Tikkun
-- and ones that are probably more amenable to the other strategies
laid out on the call, selling consulting and fastidiously billing
client support.
No doubt the pullback will be gradual. But
don't be surprised if the Gold Sponsor line on the program book of your
favorite nonprofit tech conference has a different occupant next time
around.
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